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Article · 01.22.24

2024 U.S. Municipal Bond Sector Outlook: Stability and Resiliency

The U.S. economy likely will avoid the recession that some had feared, creating a stable outlook for municipal bond issuers across most sectors.
  • Markets & Economy
  • Fixed Income Insights
  • Market & Investment Trends
  • Municipal
Format
Key Points
What this is
We analyze the trends that influence the credit quality of municipal bond issuers, including state governments, colleges and hospitals.
Why it matters
These trends form the fundamental foundation of investment decisions about municipal bond issuers.
Where it's going
For most market sectors, our research indicates stable outlooks and — in case of an economic downturn — solid resiliency.
Main Point

A Base of Fundamental Support

We see a soft landing to low-but-positive growth as the most likely scenario for the U.S. economy in 2024, with support from durable consumer spending and sliding inflation. This stronger-than-expected economic environment creates a generally stable outlook for municipal bond issuers across most sectors.

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Transitioning Carefully

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